Winter Experiment Project Blog Entry #3 (Reflection)

One thing that I learned from the experiment is you get more out of the experiment if you have multiple treatments.  If I were to re-design the experiment, then I would add more factors to make there be more treatments.  Another thing that I learned from the experiment is that it is important to have multiple trials for each treatment so that you can take an average of those values to get a more accurate result.  That goes along with the replication principle in a well-designed experiment.  If i were to make this change, I would also incorporate more blocking into the experiment, since blocking would be more easily used when you have more treatments.  In my experiment, I used control in a good way.  I thought that having a good control group helped make the results clearer and more accurate.  Therefore, I think that it is very important to have a good control in your experiment and I think that in any future experiments that I conduct, I will make sure that there is a good control to help my results.  

Winter Experiment Project Blog Post 2 (Results)

Conclusion:

Data Table:

**The initial height that the bouncy ball was dropped from was 36 inches**
**The bouncy balls were measured from being bounced on carpet**

Results:
From the data you can tell that my hypothesis was proven to be true. In my previous blog entry, I predicted that as you add more borax the bouncy ball will bounce higher.  The control, which contained 1/2 teaspoon of borax solution, bounced on an average of 11.90 inches when dropped from 36 inches off of the ground.  Then when I decreased the amount of borax solution, the average height the bouncy balls bounced was 11.10 inches off of the ground.  This proves that when you decrease the amount of borax, the height of the bounce decreases.  Likewise, when I increased the amount of borax solution to 3/4 teaspoons and 1 teaspoon, the average heights increased to 12.50 and 13.35, respectively. That proves that as you increase the amount of borax solution, the bouncy balls increase in the average height that they bounce when dropped from 36 inches above the ground.  All of the bouncy balls were bounced in the same place, on carpet, and by the same person.  This helped control the experimental conditions to receive more accurate results.
Pictures:
Before Experiment:

*This is a picture of the cups that were used to make the bouncy balls before they were actually made.
Bouncy Balls:

*This is a picture of the bouncy balls in their plastic bags.  They were kept in plastic bags because the more the bouncy balls are exposed to the air, the less bouncy they get.  So to receive better results, they were kept in plastic bags when they were not being used.
After Experiment:

*This is a picture of the cups that were used to make the bouncy balls.
Measuring the Bouncy Balls:

*This picture shows the location where the bouncy balls were measured for the height they bounced when they were dropped from 36 inches above the ground.  All 5 balls of each group were bounced once and then the average was taken of those 5 measurements for each group.

Winter Experiment Project. Blog Entry #1

The goal of my experiment will be to determine what level of borax solution is best to use when making a bouncing polymer ball to get the bouncy ball to bounce as high as it can go.

I am predicting that the more borax solution that is added, the higher the bouncy ball will bounce.

The materials needed for this experiment are:
-borax
-cornstarch
-white glue
-warm water
-food coloring
-measuring spoons
-spoon or craft stick
-2 small plastic cups
-marking pen
-watch with second hand
-zip-lock plastic bag

The procedures for making a bouncy polymer ball are :
1.) Label one cup plastic cup 'Borax Solution' and the other plastic cup 'Ball Mixture'
2.) Pour 2 tablespoons of warm water and 1/2 teaspoon of borax powder into the cup labeled 'Borax solution'.  Stir the mixture to dissolve the borax.  Add food coloring.
3.)  Pour 1 tablespoon of glue into the cup label 'Ball Mixture'.  Add 1/2 teaspoon of the borax solution you just made and 1 tablespoon of cornstarch.  Do NOT stir.  Allow the ingredients to interact on their own for 10-15 seconds and then stir them together to fully mix.  Once the mixture becomes impossible to stir, take it out of the cup and start molding the ball with your hands.
4.) The ball will start out sticky and messy, but will solidify as you knead it.
5.) Once the ball is less sticky, go ahead and bounce it.
6.) You can store your plastic ball in a sealed ziploc bag when you are finished playing with it.

These procedures and materials were found on http://chemistry.about.com/od/demonstrationsexperiments/ss/bounceball.htm

In the experiment I will make 20 bouncy polymer balls.  I will make a large borax solution that has 32 tablespoons of warm water and 8 teaspoons of borax powder and then i will use that borax solution for all of the bouncy balls.  This will ensure consistency throughout the bouncy balls.  The factor of the experiment will be the borax solution.  The levels will be the different amount that i will add to the bouncy balls.  There will be 5 balls that get what the procedure call for, which is 1/2 teaspoon.  Those 5 will be the control group.  There will be another 5 balls that get 1/4 teaspoon of borax solution, and there will be another 5 balls that get 3/4 teaspoon of borax solution and then one final group of 5 balls that gets 1 teaspoon of the borax solution. The treatment is the different amount of borax being added to the solution to see how it effects the bounciness of the bouncy ball.  Once the ball is made, then I will hold each of them up from the same height and record how high they bounce by making a mark on the wall of their peak.  Then measuring the height with a measuring tape.

The four principles of experimental design:
1.) Control:  Control will be used in the experiment because there will be one control group of 5 bouncy balls that get the amount of borax solution that the procedure called for.
2.) Randomization:  Randomization will be used in the experiment because once i have the plastic cups with the ingredients in them i will randomly assign them a level of treatment.  There will be 5 cups for each level of treatment.
3.) Replication:  Replication is used in the experiment because there are multiple bouncy balls for each treatment instead of just having one bouncy ball for each treatment.  This will make the results more accurate because it provides more data.
4.) Blocking: Blocking is used in the experiment because I will block the 20 cups of 'Ball Mixture' to their different treatments. Here is a diagram of the blocking:

These blocks of 'Ball Mixture' cups would be made and then they would be randomly assigned a treatment.

Timeline:
Saturday December 8, 2012: Perform the experiment by the procedures and steps above.
Monday December 10 - Thursday December 13 : report data and conclusions from the experiment

Stats at the Movies

Article: http://collider.com/box-office-reviews-statistics/173667/#more-173667 

This article talked about how different factors effect the amount of money that a movie will make.  The article uses an equation that predicts the amount of money that a movie will make once it is released into the box office.  The article uses the equation on an example movie and shows how accurate the equation was by comparing it to the actual amount of money that the movie made.  The article concluded that there is a high correlation between positive review and the movie's success.  Which is saying that if the movie gets good reviews from the critics, then the movie will have financial success.  I found this article very interesting because I was interested in learning the different aspects of movies that make them more successful, such as if the movie is rated pg-13 and whether the movie is a part of a sequel.  I also found interesting how different aspects gain more money and how much more money they gain from having those aspects.  This article relates to what we are learning in class because it talks about things such as a linear regression model and the line of regression on a scatter plot. It then uses the line to form conclusions about the data that was collected.  One new thing that I found in this article that we have not yet talked about in class was the term statistically significant.  It referred to which variable actually effected the outcome of the box office gross.

 

Equation: Gross = –80 + 0.6×RT + 0.5×Budget + 0.025×Theaters + 50×Sequel + 20×PG13

The 2011 movie "Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows"
Gross = -80 + 0.6x(60%) + 0.5x(175) + 0.025x(3600) + 50x(1) + 20x(1)
Predicted gross= $203,500,000
Actual gross= $186,848,418
The model was kind of accurate on estimating the domestic box office gross for this movie.  It overestimated how much the movie would make by about 16,000,000.

The movie released within the next 3 months "Skyfall"
Gross = -80 + 0.6(100%) + 0.5x(150) + 0.025x(3000) + 50(1) + 20x(1)
Predicted gross = 200,000,000

Infographic

            I chose the topic of Dogs because I like dogs.  I am also very interesting on how dogs affect people.  For example how a person's health is affected by having a dog or not having a dog.  Or what a person might do to help their dog.  I think dogs really do improve peoples  lives, and i like learning about that.  I also really enjoy being around and taking care of dogs.


Works Cited 
http://www.aspca.org/about-us/faq/pet-statistics.aspx
http://www.humanesociety.org/issues/pet_overpopulation/facts/pet_ownership_statistics.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most_popular_dog_breeds
http://www.clker.com
http://articles.latimes.com/2011/jul/18/health/la-he-pets-good-bad-20110718

Super Hero Short Story

                    In a galaxy, far far away, the super hero Emry roams his home planet.  His home planet has lots of trees and wild animals.  Emry takes pride in protecting these wild animals.  His mortal enemy takes pride in eating the wild animals.  His mortal enemy's name is Watacus.  His special power is shooting water out of his hands, and controlling the weather.  This is unfortunate because Emry's only weakness is when water comes into contact with his skin, he loses all of his special powers for five seconds.  His special powers are laser vision, super strength, and the ability to steal other people's powers.  This is helpful, but it doesn't stop him from being blasted with water.  

                    So one day, Emry is strolling through the masses of trees saying hello to all of the animals, when suddenly he hears a cat meowing atop one of the tree's highest branches.  He jumps into action, when suddenly a wave of water comes flying through the air at him.  Emry is blasted with the water and falls to the ground.  Watacus starts climbing the tree to get to the helpless cat.  Emry regains his power after what seemed like forever.  He quickly zaps Watacus, who is now far up in the tree, with his laser vision to slow him down, then he grabs the trunk of the tree and starts to shake it with his super strength.  He keeps his eye on  the cat, as the cat falls from the tree, Emry swiftly catches it right before it hits the dusty ground.  He then watches as Watacus comes crashing to the ground.  Watacus lays there immobile from his detrimental fall.  Once again, Emry has saved the day from evil, and has kept all of the wild animals safe and sound.  

Importance of the 5 W's

         The importance of the 5 W's is that it helps you identify useful information.  They give context to the data which helps identify the use of the data.  Without context, the data would be useless.  The 'who' and the 'what' are typically the most important in providing context for data.

An article that has the 5 W's is http://www.naturalnews.com/020920_junk_food_marketing_nutrition.html
The 5 W's:
Who- Young Children
What- are being portrayed unhealthy messages that causes them to have bad nutrition
When- When they watch T.V.
Where- the commercials played on T.V. in between children shows
Why- The unhealthy food items are being portrayed because the of the food items companies want to create brand loyalty in children while they are young
How- it creates bad nutrition in children because the unhealthy food items cause the children to have bad eating habits, which later on in life creates poor nutrition